The odds for CS2 Collections and Souvenir Packages
In this article, we are going to explain the CS2 Package odds and unboxing percentage to you. Collections, Packages, or Souvenir Packages have different odds from the normal Counter-Strike 2 cases.
Opening cases, capsules and packages, even though it is in-game, is still a form of gambling. Only open them if you can stomach losing the money. Now lets talk about the odds of CS2 Collections and Packages!
Collection and Souvenir Packages odds in CS2 for items
Here are the odds of getting the items in each rarity from opening a Counter-Strike 2 Collections, as well as Souvenir packages and Packages.
Collections, the Anubis package, or Souvenir packages, all share the same odds. Instead of having around 80% the chance for a Blue item like cases (read more about the Case odds here CS2 Case Opening Odds and Percentages, Collections are made up of Consumer Grade (Grey) and Industrial Grade (Light blue) items. CS2 Collection items are more elusive than their responding Case counterparts, as the percentages are not the same, thanks to the other rarities. Read and learn all about the odds of Collection drops and Souvenir Packages in 2026.
All the item odds always have to total 100% (as it makes "one whole"). Red being the highest quality you can get in Souvenir Packages, and it is as rare as a StatTrak Knife from a normal CS2 Case!! Sadly, probability calculation and stochastic do not work on absolutes.
All the item odds always have to total 100% (as it makes "one whole"). Red being the highest quality you can get in Souvenir Packages, and it is as rare as a StatTrak Knife from a normal CS2 Case!! Sadly, probability calculation and stochastic do not work on absolutes.
The percentage and odds for CS2 Souvenir Packages
Here are the odds and percentages for Counter-Strike 2 Packages and Counter-Strike 2 Souvenir Packages. From Cobblestone Packages to Anubis packages and everything in between. These odds also count for the more recent 2021 Collections: Dust 2 (Golden Arabesque), Mirage (AWP | Desert Hydra) and Vertigo (M4A1-S | Imminent Danger) collections.
Souvenir Package:
Souvenir Package:
- Consumer Grade Grey 76,923% 1 in 1,3
- Industrial Grade Light blue 15,073% 1 in 6,6
- Mil-Spec Dark blue 3,333% 1 in 30
- Restricted Purple 0,666% in 150
- Classified Pink 0,133% 1 in 752
- Covert Red 0,027% 1 in 3704
The odds for a back-to-back Reds!
One of the rarest events that can happen when you open Counter-Strike 2 Cases is the back-to-back Gold, with a percentage of around 0,000676%! This is roughly 1 to 148.000!
But something which is even more rare is a back-to-back RED from a CS2 Collection or Souvenir Package. With a chance of 0,027% times 0,027%, this equals to 1 in 13717421, you might as well play the lottery, as these chances are almost as likely as hitting 6 in the Lottery!
But something which is even more rare is a back-to-back RED from a CS2 Collection or Souvenir Package. With a chance of 0,027% times 0,027%, this equals to 1 in 13717421, you might as well play the lottery, as these chances are almost as likely as hitting 6 in the Lottery!
Does StatTrak™ for Collection items?
StatTrak™ does NOT exist for CS2 Souvenir Packages and Collection items. You can not get StatTrak™ on Souvenir guns, such as the AWP | Dragon Lore or the AK-47 | Wild Lotus. The StatTrak Kill Counter is ONLY available for Counter-Strike 2 Case weapons, not Collection and Package collections. Souvenir items come with golden stickers from the event, and back in the day even the Pro who got the MVP in the round it was dropped.
Conclusion
Thank you for reading our article about the percentage and odds of unboxing Counter-Strike 2 Souv Packages. We hope you could learn something. You see a lot of different results of CS case odds online, as some people round up, some down, and some sadly just are not good at math. We asked a Master of Statistics (yes, we did) to help us with some odds, just to confirm that we are mathematically correct.
We strongly advise against opening packages and cases - as you just saw, the odds are not in your favour! Especially in getting a good item or profit. And the odds, especially with CS2 Collection and Packages, as you saw, are highly against you, be smart!
We strongly advise against opening packages and cases - as you just saw, the odds are not in your favour! Especially in getting a good item or profit. And the odds, especially with CS2 Collection and Packages, as you saw, are highly against you, be smart!
