We respect your privacy

We use cookies to make our offer user-friendly and to constantly improve it. Cookies for analysis purposes are only set if you accept them below, or accept all of them. If cookies are deactivated, the functionality of our website may be limited. For more information, please see our privacy policy.

No Risk Trade Ups in CS2 - How to find them!

Are there "risk free" trade ups in CS2?

Topic: No Risk Trade Ups in CS2 - How to find them!

By clicking on this blog post, I’ll assume you already know what a trade-up is in Counter-Strike 2. But for those who don’t, here’s a quick recap: In CS2, players can trade 10 skins of the same rarity for 1 skin of the next higher rarity. For example, 10 Mil-Spec (blue) items can be exchanged for 1 Restricted (purple) item.

What makes trade-ups exciting is that not all outcomes are equally valuable. Sometimes, depending on the inputs you use, your outcome could be worth significantly more than what you spent. The CS2 market is constantly changing, which means new profitable trade-ups are always emerging.

That’s where my website, TradeUpLab, comes in. Powered by a continuously running algorithm, it analyses market prices and identifies the most profitable combinations for users. If you want to dive into the math and formulas behind trade-ups, I covered that in my first blog post with EsportFire. Today, we’ll go one step further:

  Chod   jAlex

Do Zero Risk Trade Ups Exist?

So we have already covered the fact that you can make a profit with trade-ups. But what about zero-risk trade-ups? Are there trade-ups that will 100% return me a profit? The answer is yes. Although they are much rarer. When I say “no risk”, I mean that every possible outcome will net you a profit, regardless of what you get. Out of the last 50 trade-ups shared to TradeUpLab, there have been only three 100% profit opportunities, roughly 6% of all trade-ups shared to the site.

Typically, these are harder to find the inputs for and don't tend to last long due to how dynamic the market is. Either the outcome skins drop in price or, more commonly, the input items increase in value. From what I have seen, it’s typically 10 x Mil-Specs from a single collection, which provide the 100% profitable trade-ups. Here are a few recent examples:

Profitable Trade Ups in CS2

Whilst risk-free trade-ups might be rare, profitable low-risk trade-ups are in abundance. Using the specific inputs can yield a substantial profit. For example, a trade-up where you have an 80% chance of a profit and a 20% chance of a slight loss is still extremely strong. With the right bankroll management, these trade-ups can be more reliable long-term as opposed to chasing rare no-risk ones.

So, do no-risk trade-ups exist? Yes, but they are rare and require quick action and an element of luck. Most players will find much better, long-term success by focusing on low-risk, high expected value (EV+) trade-ups.

Outro

This is precisely what TradeUpLab helps you with. For more profitable trade-ups like the one above, check out TradeUpLab - you might catch the next risk-free opportunity.

This article is written by @chod, the founder of Tradeuplab, and published on EsportFire to support other community projects, without financial or non-financial benefits for EsportFire.

Was this article helpful?

Do you enjoy our free, quality journalism?
Support us by clicking the banner below!